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ANZ-Roy Morgan Vietnam Consumer Confidence at a New Record High

ANZ-Roy Morgan Vietnam Consumer Confidence is up 2.9 to 143.1pts in June – a new record high. Vietnamese Consumer Confidence remains well above its long-term average of 135.7 and is more than 10pts above its figure for June 2014 (131.0).
HIGHLIGHTS

ANZ-Roy Morgan Vietnam Consumer Confidence is up 2.9 to 143.1pts in June – a new record high. Vietnamese Consumer Confidence remains well above its long-term average of 135.7 and is more than 10pts above its figure for June 2014 (131.0).

  • The increase in June was driven by more confidence about the Vietnamese economy over the next 12 months and the next five years and also more confidence about personal finances over the next 12 months.

  • In terms of personal finances now 36% (unchanged) of Vietnamese said their families are ‘better off’ financially than this time last year compared to just 22% (up 4ppts) who said their families are ‘worse off’ financially (the highest for this indicator since December 2014).

  • Of respondents, 61% (up 5ppts) of Vietnamese expect their families to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year (the highest ever recorded for this indicator) compared to only 5% (unchanged) who expect to be ‘worse off’ financially.

  • In addition, 58% (up 5ppts) of Vietnamese expect Vietnam to have ‘good times’ financially during the next 12 months and just 10% (down 2ppts) expect ‘bad times’ financially.

  • In the longer-term, 66% (up 5ppts) of Vietnamese expect Vietnam to have ‘good times’ economically over the next five years compared to just 4% (down 1ppt) who expect ‘bad times’ economically (an equal record low for this indicator).

  • Finally, 47% (unchanged) of Vietnamese said ‘now is a good time to buy’ major household items compared to 12% (unchanged) who said ‘now is a bad time to buy’ major household items.
Glenn Maguire, ANZ Chief Economist, South Asia, ASEAN & Pacific said:

“ANZ-Roy Morgan Vietnamese Consumer Confidence is clearly echoing an economic recovery that is both broadening and strengthening.

"The rise in Vietnamese consumer confidence to a new record high was importantly driven by strong improvements in the forward-looking assessments of personal finances and the economy more generally. Of the surveyed respondents, 61% (up 5ppts) now believe that their families will be better off financially one year from now. This is the highest level ever recorded for this question. Further, two-thirds of respondents now believe that Vietnam will enjoy good-times economically over the next five years, while those who believe Vietnam will experience bad times (11%) has fallen to an equal record low.

"For some time, the Vietnamese recovery has been dichotomous, characterised by an out-performing external sector and an under-performing domestic and household sector. Our consumer confidence index is clearly pointing to that dichotomy starting to yield to a more even and balanced economic performance.

"With ANZ-Roy Morgan Vietnam Consumer Confidence at a record high, we too find our confidence on the Vietnamese economic outlook rising. Vietnam continues to emerge as an ASEAN economic out-performer in 2015-16.”


ANZ-Roy Morgan Vietnam Consumer Confidence Rating - June 2015 - 143.1

ANZ-Roy Morgan Vietnam Consumer Confidence Rating - June 2015 - 143.1

Click to view the latest ANZ-Roy Morgan Vietnamese Consumer Confidence Release PDF - June 2015.


Latest ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Releases

Latest ANZ-Roy Morgan Vietnam & Asia-Pacific Consumer Confidence Data Tables

Related Research Reports

The latest Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Monthly Report is available on the Roy Morgan Online Store. It provides demographic breakdowns for Age, Sex, State, Region (Capital Cities/ Country), Generations, Lifecycle, Socio-Economic Scale, Work Status, Occupation, Home Ownership, Voting Intention, Roy Morgan Value Segments and more.

You can also view our monitor of Monthly Australian Unemployment & Under-employment Estimates.