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Ratings figures fail to capture the full picture of AFL & NRL Grand Final viewership

Finding No. 7362 – These special snap Roy Morgan SMS surveys were conducted with representative cross-sections of 1,667 Australians aged 18+ on Sunday October 1, 2017 for the AFL Grand Final and 1,626 Australians aged 18+ on Monday October 2, 2017.

Two Roy Morgan Snap SMS Surveys taken after the weekend’s AFL and NRL Grand Finals show millions more Australians watched the two showpiece events than were captured by conventional ‘5 City Metro’ ratings figures.

A Roy Morgan Snap SMS survey taken on Sunday showed 8.4 million Australians aged 18+ (44.5%) watched the AFL Grand Final much higher than suggested by the official Channel 7 ‘5 City Metro’ ratings of 2.7 million.

A further Roy Morgan Snap SMS survey taken on Monday showed 6.5 million Australians aged 18+ (34.5%) watched the NRL Grand Final again much higher than suggested by the official Channel 9 ‘5 City Metro’ ratings of 2.3 million.


AFL Grand Final is more popular in Capital Cities

Of the 8.4 million Australians that watched the AFL Grand Final over 5.7 million (30.5% of Australia’s population aged 18+) primarily watched the game on TV including 3.8 million in the ‘5 City Metro’ area (a 31.5% share of that market) and a further 1.9 million in the rest of Australia (a slightly lower, 28% share of that market).

An additional 2.7 million Australians (14.2%) watched the game in another way either at a friend’s house, at the local pub/hotel, via an app or website, at the ground, or in another way not covered. These results are broken-down extensively in our AFL viewership release available here.


NRL Grand Final is more popular (proportionally) in Rural and Regional areas

Of the 6.5 million Australians that watched the NRL Grand Final nearly 4.9 million (25.5% of Australia’s population aged 18+) primarily watched the game on TV including 2.8 million in the ‘5 City Metro’ area (a 23% share of that market) and a further 2.0 million in the rest of Australia (a higher 30% share of that market).

An additional 1.6 million Australians (8.4%) watched the game in another way either at a friend’s house, at the local pub/hotel, via an app or website, at the ground, or in another way not covered. These results are broken-down extensively in our NRL viewership release available here.

Gary Morgan, Executive Chairman, Roy Morgan Research, says:

“Special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Surveys taken after the AFL and NRL Grand Finals reveal far more Australians watched the two events than is revealed by traditional ‘5 City Metro’ aggregated viewing figures.

“The good news for Grand Final advertisers and sponsors is that millions of Australians watched the games on TV outside the traditional ‘5 City Metro’ markets and millions more again watched the games at a friend’s house, in a pub or hotel, at the ground or streaming via an app or website.

“The different time slots for the games also skewed the method used to watch the games. The Saturday afternoon ‘timeslot’ of the AFL Grand Final drew bigger audiences at pubs and hotels and watching at friend’s houses compared to the NRL Grand Final held in the evening.

“Streaming the Saturday afternoon AFL Grand Final via an app or website was more likely for Metro area viewers (81,000) than those in the rest of Australia (18,000). The situation was reversed for the night-time NRL decider with more rural and regional viewers (57,000) of the NRL Grand Final streaming via an app or website compared to their ‘5 City Metro’ area counterparts (37,000).

“Interestingly, despite the larger audience of the AFL Grand Final than the NRL Grand Final – this difference was entirely a result of larger audiences in Australia’s five largest ‘Capital Cities’. There was little difference in the total viewers in the rest of Australia between the two matches with Roy Morgan showing the NRL Grand Final had a higher number of TV viewers outside the ‘5 City Metro’ area than the AFL Grand Final.”

Finding No. 7362 – These special snap Roy Morgan SMS surveys were conducted with representative cross-sections of 1,667 Australians aged 18+ on Sunday October 1, 2017 for the AFL Grand Final and 1,626 Australians aged 18+ on Monday October 2, 2017 for the NRL Grand Final. The respondents were asked “Did you watch the AFL/NRL Grand Final?” If YES: “Did you primarily watch the AFL/NRL Grand Final on TV, App, Website, Friend’s House, Pub/Hotel, At the Ground or Other?”

Roy Morgan SMS Polling was extremely accurate at both the last two Federal Elections.
Results analysed by Roy Morgan Helix Personas are available on a subscription basis.
www.HelixPersonas.com.au


Questions:

“Did you watch the AFL/NRL Grand Final?” If YES: “Did you primarily watch the AFL/NRL Grand Final on TV, App, Website, Friend’s House, Pub/Hotel, At the Ground or Other?”


Watching AFL & NRL Grand Finals – The Proportions

Australia-wide

Five Capital Cities**

Rest of Australia

AFL

NRL

Difference

AFL

NRL

Difference

AFL

NRL

Difference

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

TV

30.5

25.5

-5

31.5

23

-8.5

28

30

+2

Friend’s house

5.5

2

-3.5

6

1.5

-4.5

4.5

2.5

-2

Pub/ Hotel

2

1

-1

2

1

-1

1.5

0.5

-1

At the Ground

0.5

0.5

-

1

0.5

-0.5

0.5

0.5

-

App/ Website

0.5

0.5

-

1

0.5

-

0.5

1

+0.5

Other

1

0.5

-0.5

1.5

0.5

-1

1

0

-1

No answer

4.5

4.5

-

4.5

5

-

3

4

+1

TOTAL WATCHED

44.5

34.5

-10.0

46.5

32

-14.5

39

38.5

-0.5

‘Just the highlights’

9.5

8.5

-1

9.5

9.5

-

9.5

7

-2.5

Didn’t watch

46

57

+11

44

58.5

+14.5

51.5

54.5

+3

TOTAL

100

100

100

100

100

100

**Five Capital Cities: Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Perth, Adelaide.


Watching AFL & NRL Grand Finals

Australia-wide

Five Capital Cities**

Rest of Australia

AFL

NRL

Difference

AFL

NRL

Difference

AFL

NRL

Difference

‘000

‘000

‘000

‘000

‘000

‘000

‘000

‘000

‘000

TV

5,748

4,861

-897

3,849*

2,819*

-1,030

1,899

2,042

143

Friend’s house

1,031

334

-697

731

173

-558

299

161

-138

Pub/ Hotel

363

167

-196

253

117

-136

109

50

-59

At the Ground

100

80

-20

85

40

-45

15

40

+25

App/ Website

99

94

-5

81

37

-44

18

57

+39

Other

231

87

-144

166

87

-79

65

0

-65

No answer

867

848

-19

638

586

-52

228

263

+35

TOTAL WATCHED

8,439

6,472

-1,967

5,810

3,858

-1,952

2,629

2,613

-16

‘Just the highlights’

1,826

1,649

-177

1,176

1,171

-5

650

479

-171

Didn’t watch

8,719

10,818

+2,099

5,196

7,152

+1,956

3,523

3,666

+143

TOTAL

18,939

18,939

12,181

12,181

6,758

6,758

Total watched according to OzTam measuring the five Capital City Metro audience (Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Perth and Adelaide).

*Channel 7: AFL Grand Final: 2,680,000 (http://tvtonight.com.au/2017/10/saturday-30-september-2017.html)
cf. Roy Morgan Metro TV viewership of 3,849,000 (A difference of 1,169,000).

*Channel 9: NRL Grand Final: 2,325,000 (http://tvtonight.com.au/2017/10/sunday-1-october-2017.html)
cf. Roy Morgan Metro TV viewership of 2,819,000. (A difference of 494,000).


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